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Kokybinis ir kiekybinis alternatyvų aprašymas:

Kiekybinė ir kokybinė informacija susijusi su alternatyvomis
Kriterijai apibūdinantys alternatyvas*Matavimo vienetaiKriterijaus svoris (svertinis koeficientas)Palygintos alternatyvos
2005 200620072008200920102011201220132014
Housing price to income ratio -Percent0,423,57,611,311,99,28,499,210,512,91
Housing affordability +Index0,7269,656,55757,567106107107,5130123,7
Buyer income +LT0,70,9151,1221,1761,2091,021,0031,0521,1171,161,23
Real interest rate-Index1,4299103100,2295,9105,38104,599,9499,99101,4101
Nominal interest rate+Percent23,11,26,0279,585,74,043,22,62,675
Number of dwellings completed in Vilnius +Units0,628884242549255908421062855190533562998
Number of granted permits for residential buildings in Vilnius+Units0,6760100593587184277670774318142291
Profit of enterprises by Construction of buildings+Mln. Lt0,1714,5000111,084911,57106311,3400174,3827774,1742945,1533634,642963,8461154,730721
Demand for housing +Points0,737687448888
Expectations about house prices over the next year (all households, will increase more than 50%)+Percent0,00532410,010,010,010,010,010,01
Expectations about house prices over the next year (all households, will increase from 20 to 50%)+Percent0,0051071370,010,010,50,50,010,01
Expectations about house prices over the next year (all households, will increase from 10 to 20%)+Percent0,00521152713,50,54420,015,1
Expectations about house prices over the next year (all households, an increase of 10%)+Percent0,005201624130,531310,52229,5
People are entering the ownership earlier or at a higher quality level+Points0,335467678878
Buyers tend to choose riskier financing alternatives than earlier -Points1177687667778
Buyers are amortizing less than earlier-Points0,337687776678
The loan-to-value ratios+Points0,57687756789
The borrowers' credit worthiness+Points0,57688766789
Speculative behavior-Points298108656789
Lithuanian annual GDP+Mln. Lt1571,263,59696,138111,5292,35394,625106,369113,189119,575125
Population+Units0,23323528326990932499833212605318385631419763052588300364129719052944459
Inflation rate-Percent0,222,74,55,811,14,21,24,13,21,91
Unemployment rate -Percent0,12864,35,813,717,815,313,212,211,3
Construction input price index in December, compared to December of the previous year-Index0,79108,7110,6115,5100,487,4105,2100,6104,1105,3101,7
Construction works+Mln. Lt0,215,9197,87610,90312,0465,9425,4016,8786,7247,2858,421
Investments in the construction sector+Mln. Lt0,112,18615,16920,31221,63312,60511,25714,00914,42616,43418,7
*- Simbolis „+(-)“ parodo, kad didesnė (mažesnė) kriterijaus reikšmė atitinka didesnį reikšmingumą vartotojui (suinteresuotoms grupėms)

Kiekybinė ir kokybinė informacija susijusi su alternatyvomis
Kriterijai apibūdinantys alternatyvas*Matavimo vienetaiKriterijaus svoris (svertinis koeficientas)Palygintos alternatyvos
Galimybė pagerinti analizuojamą kriterijų %
Galimas alternatyvos rinkos vertės padidėjimas %, įtakojamas pirmiau padidėjusios kriterijaus vertės
2005 200620072008200920102011201220132014
Housing price to income ratio -Percent0,423,5
(0%)
(0%)
7,6
(53,95%)
(0,1566%)
11,3
(69,03%)
(0,2004%)
11,9
(70,59%)
(0,2049%)
9,2
(61,96%)
(0,1799%)
8,4
(58,33%)
(0,1693%)
9
(61,11%)
(0,1774%)
9,2
(61,96%)
(0,1799%)
10,5
(66,67%)
(0,1935%)
12,91
(72,89%)
(0,2116%)
Housing affordability +Index0,7269,6
(86,78%)
(0,4319%)
56,5
(130,09%)
(0,6474%)
57
(128,07%)
(0,6373%)
57,5
(126,09%)
(0,6275%)
67
(94,03%)
(0,4679%)
106
(22,64%)
(0,1127%)
107
(21,5%)
(0,107%)
107,5
(20,93%)
(0,1042%)
130
(0%)
(0%)
123,7
(5,09%)
(0,0253%)
Buyer income +LT0,70,915
(34,43%)
(0,1666%)
1,122
(9,63%)
(0,0466%)
1,176
(4,59%)
(0,0222%)
1,209
(1,74%)
(0,0084%)
1,02
(20,59%)
(0,0996%)
1,003
(22,63%)
(0,1095%)
1,052
(16,92%)
(0,0819%)
1,117
(10,12%)
(0,0489%)
1,16
(6,03%)
(0,0292%)
1,23
(0%)
(0%)
Real interest rate-Index1,4299
(3,13%)
(0,0307%)
103
(6,89%)
(0,0677%)
100,22
(4,31%)
(0,0423%)
95,9
(0%)
(0%)
105,38
(9%)
(0,0883%)
104,5
(8,23%)
(0,0808%)
99,94
(4,04%)
(0,0397%)
99,99
(4,09%)
(0,0401%)
101,4
(5,42%)
(0,0532%)
101
(5,05%)
(0,0496%)
Nominal interest rate+Percent23,1
(209,03%)
(2,8896%)
1,2
(698,33%)
(9,6535%)
6,02
(59,14%)
(0,8175%)
7
(36,86%)
(0,5095%)
9,58
(0%)
(0%)
5,7
(68,07%)
(0,941%)
4,04
(137,13%)
(1,8956%)
3,2
(199,38%)
(2,7561%)
2,6
(268,46%)
(3,7111%)
2,675
(258,13%)
(3,5683%)
Number of dwellings completed in Vilnius +Units0,62888
(93,56%)
(0,388%)
4242
(31,78%)
(0,1318%)
5492
(1,78%)
(0,0074%)
5590
(0%)
(0%)
842
(563,9%)
(2,3385%)
1062
(426,37%)
(1,7682%)
855
(553,8%)
(2,2967%)
1905
(193,44%)
(0,8022%)
3356
(66,57%)
(0,2761%)
2998
(86,46%)
(0,3585%)
Number of granted permits for residential buildings in Vilnius+Units0,6760
(201,45%)
(0,8354%)
1005
(127,96%)
(0,5307%)
935
(145,03%)
(0,6014%)
871
(163,03%)
(0,6761%)
842
(172,09%)
(0,7137%)
776
(195,23%)
(0,8096%)
707
(224,05%)
(0,9291%)
743
(208,34%)
(0,864%)
1814
(26,3%)
(0,109%)
2291
(0%)
(0%)
Profit of enterprises by Construction of buildings+Mln. Lt0,1714,50001
(0%)
(0%)
11,0849
(30,81%)
(0,0362%)
11,571063
(25,31%)
(0,0297%)
11,340017
(27,87%)
(0,0327%)
4,382777
(230,84%)
(0,2712%)
4,174294
(247,36%)
(0,2907%)
5,153363
(181,37%)
(0,2131%)
4,64296
(212,3%)
(0,2495%)
3,846115
(277%)
(0,3255%)
4,730721
(206,51%)
(0,2426%)
Demand for housing +Points0,737
(14,29%)
(0,0721%)
6
(33,33%)
(0,1682%)
8
(0%)
(0%)
7
(14,29%)
(0,0721%)
4
(100%)
(0,5046%)
4
(100%)
(0,5046%)
8
(0%)
(0%)
8
(0%)
(0%)
8
(0%)
(0%)
8
(0%)
(0%)
Expectations about house prices over the next year (all households, will increase more than 50%)+Percent0,0053
(33,33%)
(0,0012%)
2
(100%)
(0,0035%)
4
(0%)
(0%)
1
(300%)
(0,0104%)
0,01
(39900%)
(1,3789%)
0,01
(39900%)
(1,3789%)
0,01
(39900%)
(1,3789%)
0,01
(39900%)
(1,3789%)
0,01
(39900%)
(1,3789%)
0,01
(39900%)
(1,3789%)
Expectations about house prices over the next year (all households, will increase from 20 to 50%)+Percent0,00510
(30%)
(0,001%)
7
(85,71%)
(0,003%)
13
(0%)
(0%)
7
(85,71%)
(0,003%)
0,01
(129900%)
(4,4892%)
0,01
(129900%)
(4,4892%)
0,5
(2500%)
(0,0864%)
0,5
(2500%)
(0,0864%)
0,01
(129900%)
(4,4892%)
0,01
(129900%)
(4,4892%)
Expectations about house prices over the next year (all households, will increase from 10 to 20%)+Percent0,00521
(28,57%)
(0,001%)
15
(80%)
(0,0028%)
27
(0%)
(0%)
13,5
(100%)
(0,0035%)
0,5
(5300%)
(0,1832%)
4
(575%)
(0,0199%)
4
(575%)
(0,0199%)
2
(1250%)
(0,0432%)
0,01
(269900%)
(9,3275%)
5,1
(429,41%)
(0,0148%)
Expectations about house prices over the next year (all households, an increase of 10%)+Percent0,00520
(47,5%)
(0,0016%)
16
(84,38%)
(0,0029%)
24
(22,92%)
(0,0008%)
13
(126,92%)
(0,0044%)
0,5
(5800%)
(0,2004%)
3
(883,33%)
(0,0305%)
13
(126,92%)
(0,0044%)
10,5
(180,95%)
(0,0063%)
22
(34,09%)
(0,0012%)
29,5
(0%)
(0%)
People are entering the ownership earlier or at a higher quality level+Points0,335
(60%)
(0,1369%)
4
(100%)
(0,2281%)
6
(33,33%)
(0,076%)
7
(14,29%)
(0,0326%)
6
(33,33%)
(0,076%)
7
(14,29%)
(0,0326%)
8
(0%)
(0%)
8
(0%)
(0%)
7
(14,29%)
(0,0326%)
8
(0%)
(0%)
Buyers tend to choose riskier financing alternatives than earlier -Points1177
(14,29%)
(11,5526%)
6
(0%)
(0%)
8
(25%)
(20,217%)
7
(14,29%)
(11,5526%)
6
(0%)
(0%)
6
(0%)
(0%)
7
(14,29%)
(11,5526%)
7
(14,29%)
(11,5526%)
7
(14,29%)
(11,5526%)
8
(25%)
(20,217%)
Buyers are amortizing less than earlier-Points0,337
(14,29%)
(0,0326%)
6
(0%)
(0%)
8
(25%)
(0,057%)
7
(14,29%)
(0,0326%)
7
(14,29%)
(0,0326%)
7
(14,29%)
(0,0326%)
6
(0%)
(0%)
6
(0%)
(0%)
7
(14,29%)
(0,0326%)
8
(25%)
(0,057%)
The loan-to-value ratios+Points0,57
(28,57%)
(0,0987%)
6
(50%)
(0,1728%)
8
(12,5%)
(0,0432%)
7
(28,57%)
(0,0987%)
7
(28,57%)
(0,0987%)
5
(80%)
(0,2765%)
6
(50%)
(0,1728%)
7
(28,57%)
(0,0987%)
8
(12,5%)
(0,0432%)
9
(0%)
(0%)
The borrowers' credit worthiness+Points0,57
(28,57%)
(0,0987%)
6
(50%)
(0,1728%)
8
(12,5%)
(0,0432%)
8
(12,5%)
(0,0432%)
7
(28,57%)
(0,0987%)
6
(50%)
(0,1728%)
6
(50%)
(0,1728%)
7
(28,57%)
(0,0987%)
8
(12,5%)
(0,0432%)
9
(0%)
(0%)
Speculative behavior-Points29
(44,44%)
(0,6144%)
8
(37,5%)
(0,5184%)
10
(50%)
(0,6912%)
8
(37,5%)
(0,5184%)
6
(16,67%)
(0,2304%)
5
(0%)
(0%)
6
(16,67%)
(0,2304%)
7
(28,57%)
(0,395%)
8
(37,5%)
(0,5184%)
9
(44,44%)
(0,6144%)
Lithuanian annual GDP+Mln. Lt1571,2
(75,56%)
(7,834%)
63,596
(96,55%)
(10,0104%)
96,138
(30,02%)
(3,1125%)
111,52
(12,09%)
(1,2532%)
92,353
(35,35%)
(3,665%)
94,625
(32,1%)
(3,3281%)
106,369
(17,52%)
(1,8159%)
113,189
(10,43%)
(1,0818%)
119,575
(4,54%)
(0,4704%)
125
(0%)
(0%)
Population+Units0,23323528
(0%)
(0%)
3269909
(1,64%)
(0,0023%)
3249983
(2,26%)
(0,0031%)
3212605
(3,45%)
(0,0048%)
3183856
(4,39%)
(0,0061%)
3141976
(5,78%)
(0,008%)
3052588
(8,88%)
(0,0123%)
3003641
(10,65%)
(0,0147%)
2971905
(11,83%)
(0,0164%)
2944459
(12,87%)
(0,0178%)
Inflation rate-Percent0,222,7
(62,96%)
(0,0957%)
4,5
(77,78%)
(0,1183%)
5,8
(82,76%)
(0,1258%)
11,1
(90,99%)
(0,1384%)
4,2
(76,19%)
(0,1159%)
1,2
(16,67%)
(0,0253%)
4,1
(75,61%)
(0,115%)
3,2
(68,75%)
(0,1045%)
1,9
(47,37%)
(0,072%)
1
(0%)
(0%)
Unemployment rate -Percent0,128
(46,25%)
(0,0384%)
6
(28,33%)
(0,0235%)
4,3
(0%)
(0%)
5,8
(25,86%)
(0,0215%)
13,7
(68,61%)
(0,0569%)
17,8
(75,84%)
(0,0629%)
15,3
(71,9%)
(0,0596%)
13,2
(67,42%)
(0,0559%)
12,2
(64,75%)
(0,0537%)
11,3
(61,95%)
(0,0514%)
Construction input price index in December, compared to December of the previous year-Index0,79108,7
(19,6%)
(0,107%)
110,6
(20,98%)
(0,1145%)
115,5
(24,33%)
(0,1328%)
100,4
(12,95%)
(0,0707%)
87,4
(0%)
(0%)
105,2
(16,92%)
(0,0924%)
100,6
(13,12%)
(0,0716%)
104,1
(16,04%)
(0,0876%)
105,3
(17%)
(0,0928%)
101,7
(14,06%)
(0,0768%)
Construction works+Mln. Lt0,215,919
(103,51%)
(0,1502%)
7,876
(52,95%)
(0,0768%)
10,903
(10,48%)
(0,0152%)
12,046
(0%)
(0%)
5,942
(102,73%)
(0,1491%)
5,401
(123,03%)
(0,1786%)
6,878
(75,14%)
(0,1091%)
6,724
(79,15%)
(0,1149%)
7,285
(65,35%)
(0,0949%)
8,421
(43,05%)
(0,0625%)
Investments in the construction sector+Mln. Lt0,112,186
(77,52%)
(0,0536%)
15,169
(42,61%)
(0,0295%)
20,312
(6,5%)
(0,0045%)
21,633
(0%)
(0%)
12,605
(71,62%)
(0,0495%)
11,257
(92,17%)
(0,0637%)
14,009
(54,42%)
(0,0376%)
14,426
(49,96%)
(0,0345%)
16,434
(31,64%)
(0,0219%)
18,7
(15,68%)
(0,0108%)
*- Simbolis „+(-)“ parodo, kad didesnė (mažesnė) kriterijaus reikšmė atitinka didesnį reikšmingumą vartotojui (suinteresuotoms grupėms)