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Kokybinis ir kiekybinis alternatyvų aprašymas:

Kiekybinė ir kokybinė informacija susijusi su alternatyvomis
Kriterijai apibūdinantys alternatyvas*Matavimo vienetaiKriterijaus svoris (svertinis koeficientas)Palygintos alternatyvos
2005 200620072008200920102011201220132014
Real interest rate-Index1.4299103100.2295.9105.38104.599.9499.99101.4101
Housing price to income ratio -Percent0.423.57.611.311.99.28.499.210.512.91
Housing affordability +Index0.7269.656.55757.567106107107.5130123.7
Buyer income +LT0.70.9151.1221.1761.2091.021.0031.0521.1171.161.23
Nominal interest rate+Percent23.11.26.0279.585.74.043.22.62.675
Number of dwellings completed in Vilnius +Units0.628884242549255908421062855190533562998
Number of granted permits for residential buildings in Vilnius+Units0.6760100593587184277670774318142291
Profit of enterprises by Construction of buildings+Mln. Lt0.1714.5000111.084911.57106311.3400174.3827774.1742945.1533634.642963.8461154.730721
Demand for housing +Points0.737687448888
Expectations about house prices over the next year (all households, will increase more than 50%)+Percent0.00532410.010.010.010.010.010.01
Expectations about house prices over the next year (all households, will increase from 20 to 50%)+Percent0.0051071370.010.010.50.50.010.01
Expectations about house prices over the next year (all households, will increase from 10 to 20%)+Percent0.00521152713.50.54420.015.1
Expectations about house prices over the next year (all households, an increase of 10%)+Percent0.005201624130.531310.52229.5
People are entering the ownership earlier or at a higher quality level+Points0.335467678878
Buyers tend to choose riskier financing alternatives than earlier -Points1177687667778
Buyers are amortizing less than earlier-Points0.337687776678
The loan-to-value ratios+Points0.57687756789
The borrowers' credit worthiness+Points0.57688766789
Speculative behavior-Points298108656789
Lithuanian annual GDP+Mln. Lt1571.263.59696.138111.5292.35394.625106.369113.189119.575125
Population+Units0.23323528326990932499833212605318385631419763052588300364129719052944459
Inflation rate-Percent0.222.74.55.811.14.21.24.13.21.91
Unemployment rate -Percent0.12864.35.813.717.815.313.212.211.3
Construction input price index in December, compared to December of the previous year-Index0.79108.7110.6115.5100.487.4105.2100.6104.1105.3101.7
Construction works+Mln. Lt0.215.9197.87610.90312.0465.9425.4016.8786.7247.2858.421
Investments in the construction sector+Mln. Lt0.112.18615.16920.31221.63312.60511.25714.00914.42616.43418.7
*- Simbolis „+(-)“ parodo, kad didesnė (mažesnė) kriterijaus reikšmė atitinka didesnį reikšmingumą vartotojui (suinteresuotoms grupėms)

Kiekybinė ir kokybinė informacija susijusi su alternatyvomis
Kriterijai apibūdinantys alternatyvas*Matavimo vienetaiKriterijaus svoris (svertinis koeficientas)Palygintos alternatyvos
Galimybė pagerinti analizuojamą kriterijų %
Galimas alternatyvos rinkos vertės padidėjimas %, įtakojamas pirmiau padidėjusios kriterijaus vertės
2005 200620072008200920102011201220132014
Real interest rate-Index1.4299
(3.13%)
(0.0307%)
103
(6.89%)
(0.0677%)
100.22
(4.31%)
(0.0423%)
95.9
(0%)
(0%)
105.38
(9%)
(0.0883%)
104.5
(8.23%)
(0.0808%)
99.94
(4.04%)
(0.0397%)
99.99
(4.09%)
(0.0401%)
101.4
(5.42%)
(0.0532%)
101
(5.05%)
(0.0496%)
Housing price to income ratio -Percent0.423.5
(0%)
(0%)
7.6
(53.95%)
(0.1566%)
11.3
(69.03%)
(0.2004%)
11.9
(70.59%)
(0.2049%)
9.2
(61.96%)
(0.1799%)
8.4
(58.33%)
(0.1693%)
9
(61.11%)
(0.1774%)
9.2
(61.96%)
(0.1799%)
10.5
(66.67%)
(0.1935%)
12.91
(72.89%)
(0.2116%)
Housing affordability +Index0.7269.6
(86.78%)
(0.4319%)
56.5
(130.09%)
(0.6474%)
57
(128.07%)
(0.6373%)
57.5
(126.09%)
(0.6275%)
67
(94.03%)
(0.4679%)
106
(22.64%)
(0.1127%)
107
(21.5%)
(0.107%)
107.5
(20.93%)
(0.1042%)
130
(0%)
(0%)
123.7
(5.09%)
(0.0253%)
Buyer income +LT0.70.915
(34.43%)
(0.1666%)
1.122
(9.63%)
(0.0466%)
1.176
(4.59%)
(0.0222%)
1.209
(1.74%)
(0.0084%)
1.02
(20.59%)
(0.0996%)
1.003
(22.63%)
(0.1095%)
1.052
(16.92%)
(0.0819%)
1.117
(10.12%)
(0.0489%)
1.16
(6.03%)
(0.0292%)
1.23
(0%)
(0%)
Nominal interest rate+Percent23.1
(209.03%)
(2.8896%)
1.2
(698.33%)
(9.6535%)
6.02
(59.14%)
(0.8175%)
7
(36.86%)
(0.5095%)
9.58
(0%)
(0%)
5.7
(68.07%)
(0.941%)
4.04
(137.13%)
(1.8956%)
3.2
(199.38%)
(2.7561%)
2.6
(268.46%)
(3.7111%)
2.675
(258.13%)
(3.5683%)
Number of dwellings completed in Vilnius +Units0.62888
(93.56%)
(0.388%)
4242
(31.78%)
(0.1318%)
5492
(1.78%)
(0.0074%)
5590
(0%)
(0%)
842
(563.9%)
(2.3385%)
1062
(426.37%)
(1.7682%)
855
(553.8%)
(2.2967%)
1905
(193.44%)
(0.8022%)
3356
(66.57%)
(0.2761%)
2998
(86.46%)
(0.3585%)
Number of granted permits for residential buildings in Vilnius+Units0.6760
(201.45%)
(0.8354%)
1005
(127.96%)
(0.5307%)
935
(145.03%)
(0.6014%)
871
(163.03%)
(0.6761%)
842
(172.09%)
(0.7137%)
776
(195.23%)
(0.8096%)
707
(224.05%)
(0.9291%)
743
(208.34%)
(0.864%)
1814
(26.3%)
(0.109%)
2291
(0%)
(0%)
Profit of enterprises by Construction of buildings+Mln. Lt0.1714.50001
(0%)
(0%)
11.0849
(30.81%)
(0.0362%)
11.571063
(25.31%)
(0.0297%)
11.340017
(27.87%)
(0.0327%)
4.382777
(230.84%)
(0.2712%)
4.174294
(247.36%)
(0.2907%)
5.153363
(181.37%)
(0.2131%)
4.64296
(212.3%)
(0.2495%)
3.846115
(277%)
(0.3255%)
4.730721
(206.51%)
(0.2426%)
Demand for housing +Points0.737
(14.29%)
(0.0721%)
6
(33.33%)
(0.1682%)
8
(0%)
(0%)
7
(14.29%)
(0.0721%)
4
(100%)
(0.5046%)
4
(100%)
(0.5046%)
8
(0%)
(0%)
8
(0%)
(0%)
8
(0%)
(0%)
8
(0%)
(0%)
Expectations about house prices over the next year (all households, will increase more than 50%)+Percent0.0053
(33.33%)
(0.0012%)
2
(100%)
(0.0035%)
4
(0%)
(0%)
1
(300%)
(0.0104%)
0.01
(39900%)
(1.3789%)
0.01
(39900%)
(1.3789%)
0.01
(39900%)
(1.3789%)
0.01
(39900%)
(1.3789%)
0.01
(39900%)
(1.3789%)
0.01
(39900%)
(1.3789%)
Expectations about house prices over the next year (all households, will increase from 20 to 50%)+Percent0.00510
(30%)
(0.001%)
7
(85.71%)
(0.003%)
13
(0%)
(0%)
7
(85.71%)
(0.003%)
0.01
(129900%)
(4.4892%)
0.01
(129900%)
(4.4892%)
0.5
(2500%)
(0.0864%)
0.5
(2500%)
(0.0864%)
0.01
(129900%)
(4.4892%)
0.01
(129900%)
(4.4892%)
Expectations about house prices over the next year (all households, will increase from 10 to 20%)+Percent0.00521
(28.57%)
(0.001%)
15
(80%)
(0.0028%)
27
(0%)
(0%)
13.5
(100%)
(0.0035%)
0.5
(5300%)
(0.1832%)
4
(575%)
(0.0199%)
4
(575%)
(0.0199%)
2
(1250%)
(0.0432%)
0.01
(269900%)
(9.3275%)
5.1
(429.41%)
(0.0148%)
Expectations about house prices over the next year (all households, an increase of 10%)+Percent0.00520
(47.5%)
(0.0016%)
16
(84.38%)
(0.0029%)
24
(22.92%)
(0.0008%)
13
(126.92%)
(0.0044%)
0.5
(5800%)
(0.2004%)
3
(883.33%)
(0.0305%)
13
(126.92%)
(0.0044%)
10.5
(180.95%)
(0.0063%)
22
(34.09%)
(0.0012%)
29.5
(0%)
(0%)
People are entering the ownership earlier or at a higher quality level+Points0.335
(60%)
(0.1369%)
4
(100%)
(0.2281%)
6
(33.33%)
(0.076%)
7
(14.29%)
(0.0326%)
6
(33.33%)
(0.076%)
7
(14.29%)
(0.0326%)
8
(0%)
(0%)
8
(0%)
(0%)
7
(14.29%)
(0.0326%)
8
(0%)
(0%)
Buyers tend to choose riskier financing alternatives than earlier -Points1177
(14.29%)
(11.5526%)
6
(0%)
(0%)
8
(25%)
(20.217%)
7
(14.29%)
(11.5526%)
6
(0%)
(0%)
6
(0%)
(0%)
7
(14.29%)
(11.5526%)
7
(14.29%)
(11.5526%)
7
(14.29%)
(11.5526%)
8
(25%)
(20.217%)
Buyers are amortizing less than earlier-Points0.337
(14.29%)
(0.0326%)
6
(0%)
(0%)
8
(25%)
(0.057%)
7
(14.29%)
(0.0326%)
7
(14.29%)
(0.0326%)
7
(14.29%)
(0.0326%)
6
(0%)
(0%)
6
(0%)
(0%)
7
(14.29%)
(0.0326%)
8
(25%)
(0.057%)
The loan-to-value ratios+Points0.57
(28.57%)
(0.0987%)
6
(50%)
(0.1728%)
8
(12.5%)
(0.0432%)
7
(28.57%)
(0.0987%)
7
(28.57%)
(0.0987%)
5
(80%)
(0.2765%)
6
(50%)
(0.1728%)
7
(28.57%)
(0.0987%)
8
(12.5%)
(0.0432%)
9
(0%)
(0%)
The borrowers' credit worthiness+Points0.57
(28.57%)
(0.0987%)
6
(50%)
(0.1728%)
8
(12.5%)
(0.0432%)
8
(12.5%)
(0.0432%)
7
(28.57%)
(0.0987%)
6
(50%)
(0.1728%)
6
(50%)
(0.1728%)
7
(28.57%)
(0.0987%)
8
(12.5%)
(0.0432%)
9
(0%)
(0%)
Speculative behavior-Points29
(44.44%)
(0.6144%)
8
(37.5%)
(0.5184%)
10
(50%)
(0.6912%)
8
(37.5%)
(0.5184%)
6
(16.67%)
(0.2304%)
5
(0%)
(0%)
6
(16.67%)
(0.2304%)
7
(28.57%)
(0.395%)
8
(37.5%)
(0.5184%)
9
(44.44%)
(0.6144%)
Lithuanian annual GDP+Mln. Lt1571.2
(75.56%)
(7.834%)
63.596
(96.55%)
(10.0104%)
96.138
(30.02%)
(3.1125%)
111.52
(12.09%)
(1.2532%)
92.353
(35.35%)
(3.665%)
94.625
(32.1%)
(3.3281%)
106.369
(17.52%)
(1.8159%)
113.189
(10.43%)
(1.0818%)
119.575
(4.54%)
(0.4704%)
125
(0%)
(0%)
Population+Units0.23323528
(0%)
(0%)
3269909
(1.64%)
(0.0023%)
3249983
(2.26%)
(0.0031%)
3212605
(3.45%)
(0.0048%)
3183856
(4.39%)
(0.0061%)
3141976
(5.78%)
(0.008%)
3052588
(8.88%)
(0.0123%)
3003641
(10.65%)
(0.0147%)
2971905
(11.83%)
(0.0164%)
2944459
(12.87%)
(0.0178%)
Inflation rate-Percent0.222.7
(62.96%)
(0.0957%)
4.5
(77.78%)
(0.1183%)
5.8
(82.76%)
(0.1258%)
11.1
(90.99%)
(0.1384%)
4.2
(76.19%)
(0.1159%)
1.2
(16.67%)
(0.0253%)
4.1
(75.61%)
(0.115%)
3.2
(68.75%)
(0.1045%)
1.9
(47.37%)
(0.072%)
1
(0%)
(0%)
Unemployment rate -Percent0.128
(46.25%)
(0.0384%)
6
(28.33%)
(0.0235%)
4.3
(0%)
(0%)
5.8
(25.86%)
(0.0215%)
13.7
(68.61%)
(0.0569%)
17.8
(75.84%)
(0.0629%)
15.3
(71.9%)
(0.0596%)
13.2
(67.42%)
(0.0559%)
12.2
(64.75%)
(0.0537%)
11.3
(61.95%)
(0.0514%)
Construction input price index in December, compared to December of the previous year-Index0.79108.7
(19.6%)
(0.107%)
110.6
(20.98%)
(0.1145%)
115.5
(24.33%)
(0.1328%)
100.4
(12.95%)
(0.0707%)
87.4
(0%)
(0%)
105.2
(16.92%)
(0.0924%)
100.6
(13.12%)
(0.0716%)
104.1
(16.04%)
(0.0876%)
105.3
(17%)
(0.0928%)
101.7
(14.06%)
(0.0768%)
Construction works+Mln. Lt0.215.919
(103.51%)
(0.1502%)
7.876
(52.95%)
(0.0768%)
10.903
(10.48%)
(0.0152%)
12.046
(0%)
(0%)
5.942
(102.73%)
(0.1491%)
5.401
(123.03%)
(0.1786%)
6.878
(75.14%)
(0.1091%)
6.724
(79.15%)
(0.1149%)
7.285
(65.35%)
(0.0949%)
8.421
(43.05%)
(0.0625%)
Investments in the construction sector+Mln. Lt0.112.186
(77.52%)
(0.0536%)
15.169
(42.61%)
(0.0295%)
20.312
(6.5%)
(0.0045%)
21.633
(0%)
(0%)
12.605
(71.62%)
(0.0495%)
11.257
(92.17%)
(0.0637%)
14.009
(54.42%)
(0.0376%)
14.426
(49.96%)
(0.0345%)
16.434
(31.64%)
(0.0219%)
18.7
(15.68%)
(0.0108%)
*- Simbolis „+(-)“ parodo, kad didesnė (mažesnė) kriterijaus reikšmė atitinka didesnį reikšmingumą vartotojui (suinteresuotoms grupėms)